Thursday, January 03, 2008


LiveBlogging Iowa - Projected Winner


MSNBC has just projected Barack Obama as the winner of the Iowa Democratic Caucus.

This is truly an amazing and historic night. An African-American man, named Barack Hussein Obama, has beat the "presumptive nominee," Hillary Clinton - who many believed didn't have to be elected, as much as she simply needed to be coronated by the Democratic party as their nominee.

Instead, John Edwards is currently also ahead of Clinton, and the spin about her potential third place finish in Iowa has already begun. Keep in mind that Clinton (and Obama, for that matter) MASSIVELY outspent Edwards in Iowa, and yet Edwards looks to finish in second place.

Don't lose sight, as well, that this is taking place in IOWA - not exactly a hotbed of minority representation. This, in my mind, makes the Obama victory even more spectacular.

No, this isn't the end of the game. There's a LOT to happen between now and the finish line.

But as I said earlier, it gives me hope that America has people in it who are willing to risk making a change toward the dream of taking our country back, and restoring it to its glory.

Speaking of hope, it should be noted that Mike Huckabee - from Hope, Arkansas, won the Republican primary. What a study in contrast between Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee.

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Posted by FleshPresser at 9:27 PM /



LiveBlogging Iowa - Precinct 53 Caucus Results


These are preliminary, but it appears that Obama beat Clinton by a HUGE margin, in terms of count. Obama had over 180 votes, and Edwards had somewhere in the neighborhood of 150 votes. Clinton came out in third place, with around 70 votes.

As such, Obama had three delegates assigned. Edwards had two delegates. Clinton had one.

A GOOD day for Obama in District 53 - and I couldn't be happier! Let's hope these results hold up throughout the state!

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Posted by FleshPresser at 8:58 PM /



LiveBlogging Iowa Caucus



Chances are that it'll be over before you read this, but if you get the chance, take a look at C-Span, either on TV, or you can link to live coverage here. They have cameras inside a caucus site in Iowa, and you are able to watch the process as it happens.

Maybe I'm just admitting my wonk-iness, but it's retail democracy in action. In the caucus I'm watching, Iowa Precinct 53 at the Theodore Roosevelt High School, the threshold for viability is 57 people. Richardson's group had 47. Others, like Biden's group, Dodd's group, etc. were deemed not viable, as was Richardson's. However, Richardson's people went to the other groups to try and talk them into joining forces to create viability.

You might believe it to be about as exciting as watching paint dry. You might even deem it similar to watching sausage being made.

But it's grassroots, and it's invigorating to me to see people THIS active in their own piece of the political process.

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Posted by FleshPresser at 8:46 PM /



Caucus? WTF?



"Umm.... thank God I never had to take Caucus in high school. I barely got through Algerbra. (insert cheesy rim shot here) "

So, if you live in Iowa, you more than likely have a good idea by now that today is the day of "The Caucus" (insert dramatic, ominous music here) - if you don't, then you've probably been living under a rock until such time as all of the politicos have left your fair, if bland, state. You've also more than likely missed out on a TON of free dinners and political swag, all of which can be sold for a fair profit on E-Bay.

For the REST of us, however, the caucus has always remained a bit of a mystery. And while I've ALWAYS believed that our ENTIRE primary system MUST be redesigned, there is something very engaging about the caucus itself - a "stand-up-and-be-counted" purity that strikes to my very grassroots core.

Whether Iowa should be viewed as representative of the United States is another issue entirely, of course.

The caucus itself really isn't as confusing as it seems, and the format is one that is very intriguing to me, relative to current polls, and how worthless they actually are in predicting an outcome in Iowa.

Here's a quick lesson in "caucus" for those of you in the dark:

If you prefer something a bit more slanted toward a specific candidate, you can't go wrong by watching the explanations by the Obama Campaign, the Clinton campaign, or the Edwards campaign.

Provided that the weather cooperates and people actually care enough to go to their respective caucus sites, there is something fascinating about people actually gathering together, discussing the issues that directly affect them and their community, and then taking a stand for the candidate of their choice. I can't think of a more transparent form of voting - at least on a local level. While precinct captains may try to lure undecideds to their corner of the room with free and discreet handjobs, I'm sure it's nothing on the level of a Diebold-ian nightmare.

The other intriguing factor in the Iowa Caucus, relative to the 2008 Election, is the notion of the "second vote."

For those who caucus for a candidate who doesn't get to around 15%, there is an opportunity to join another caucus group, in essence giving their support to their "next favorite" candidate.

So, let's think about this for a moment. Currently, you can find polls in Iowa that show Clinton, Obama, and/or Edwards all in the lead, or at least sharing a portion of it.

But surely there are those still supporting a candidate like Dennis Kucinich, as an example. Iowa would actually be a GREAT state to live in for this fact - one could actually support the candidate that they TRULY support, while still not losing their opportunity to be heard. Kucinich, following the example, certainly will not meet the threshold necessary to garner delegates. His supporters, then, are allowed to switch their allegiance and support their next candidate of choice. As a voter in a caucus system, one could actually vote once on principle, and then vote again, if necessary, based on pragmatic realism of who actually stands the best chance of winning.

I've got to believe that, given this system, Barack Obama is going to come out as the hands down winner in Iowa at the end of the day. Clinton can probably take the hit in Iowa, but if the Iowa race registers significantly on the New Hampshire radar, it could signal one of the greatest upsets in recent political history, and one that PTF has been advocating for over a year.

And that, my friends, would be the sweetest form of democracy we've seen around these parts for quite some time.

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Posted by FleshPresser at 1:12 AM /